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Long-term Planning

Currency Risk Follows People Who Retire Abroad

An income earned in one currency and spent in another changes value with the exchange rate, adding a variable that has nothing to do with the underlying pension.

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Retiring to another country introduces a mismatch between where income originates and where it is spent. That mismatch is a currency position, held for the rest of a life.

The mismatch is structural and permanent

A pension paid in one currency and living costs incurred in another means the purchasing power of a fixed income moves with the exchange rate.

Unlike an investment position, it cannot be closed by selling something, because the income continues to arrive in the original currency for as long as it is paid.

The exposure therefore lasts the whole of retirement, and its effect compounds with any sustained move rather than averaging out over short periods.

Exchange rate moves can exceed inflation adjustments

Pension increases, where they exist, are typically linked to prices in the country of origin rather than to costs where the recipient lives.

A currency that weakens by a meaningful amount can remove several years of such increases at once, which is a far larger effect than the annual adjustment.

The two are unrelated mechanisms, so an income can be rising in nominal terms while falling substantially in what it buys.

Transfer costs recur every payment

Converting income monthly involves a spread on the exchange rate and often a fee, and both are charged on every transfer for as long as it continues.

The spread is frequently larger than any explicit fee and is less visible, since it appears as a rate rather than as a charge.

Over decades the cumulative cost is significant, which is why the mechanics of how money is moved matter as much as where it is held.

Some income can be relocated and some cannot

Investments and savings can generally be held in the currency of residence, which removes the exposure on that portion by matching assets to future spending.

State entitlements and defined benefit pensions usually cannot, since they are paid by a scheme in its own currency under its own rules.

Whether such payments continue at all, and whether increases apply to recipients living abroad, depends on rules and agreements that vary by jurisdiction and change over time.

Residence changes more than the currency

Tax residence, healthcare entitlement, inheritance rules and the recognition of wills and powers of attorney all shift when a person moves, often in ways that interact.

Those systems are set by two countries at once, and any agreement between them, which makes the position specific to the pair rather than general.

Because these rules change and depend heavily on individual circumstances, planning a move of this kind is properly a matter for qualified advice in both locations.

Questions readers ask

How often should I review my plan?

Annually as a default, plus after any significant life event. More frequent reviews tend to produce activity rather than improvement.

How do I know if I need a financial adviser?

The usual signals are irreversibility, complexity and cross-border issues. Check any adviser's regulatory status on your national register and understand how they are paid before engaging them.

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Harriet Nkomo
Editor, Finance Ridge

Harriet edits Finance Ridge and spent nine years in consumer credit before deciding the explanations were the interesting part.

Also by Harriet Nkomo